Start with the business
Identify the drivers of revenue, margins, cash flow and balance-sheet strength. Understand the operating conditions behind the numbers.
OUR APPROACH
Evidence first.
Assumptions made clear.
A repeatable framework for analyzing companies, valuing potential outcomes and monitoring the developments that matter.
A CONSISTENT APPROACH TO EVERY SITUATION
Define the expectations gap
Examine where prevailing expectations may differ from the company’s potential outcomes, and what evidence could close that gap.
Build valuation scenarios
Use bear, base and bull cases where appropriate. Distinguish sourced financial inputs from assumptions and identify the variables that matter most.
Identify catalysts and milestones
Describe the developments that could change expectations, from earnings and capital allocation to operational execution and strategic events.
Test the downside
Examine liquidity, leverage, competition, execution and other thesis-specific risks. Define what evidence would undermine the investment case.
Update when the facts change
Follow material developments and explain their effect on the thesis, valuation or research priorities.
See the research in practice.
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